Skip to main content

49ers vs Cardinals Week 9 Thursday Night Football Props: Bet on the People’s Tight End

  • Week 9 kicks off with San Francisco versus Arizona on Thursday Night Football (Oct. 31)
  • Our TNF props were 1-2 last week for -0.34 units (+0.9 units for the season)
  • George Kittle “the people’s tight end” is due for positive TD regression

Our Thursday Night Football props were a disappointing 1-2 last week but fortunately, our biggest bet hit to help minimize the damage. This week, we turn our attention to the NFC West as the undefeated San Francisco 49ers visit the last-place Cardinals. Arizona has been a mouth-watering matchup for tight ends this season, and George Kittle is poised for a breakout performance.

Prop #1: George Kittle Touchdowns (At Least)

George Kittle Touchdowns (At Least) Odds at BetOnline
1 +140

All odds taken Oct. 30

Basically we’re betting on Kittle to score here. Over the first seven games of the season, the people’s tight end has three times as many touchdowns called back, as he has scored, including another one last week against Carolina.

Positive touchdown regression is coming. The Cardinals have allowed a touchdown to tight ends in six of eight games this season (seven of eight if you consider Taysom Hill a TE) and Kittle has been the Niners target leader in five straight outings. No one on this Cardinals team can defend him and no one should be surprised if he finds the end zone more than once.

Pick: Kittle At Least 1 Touchdown (+140)

Risk: 1 unit to win 1.4 units

Super Bowl 54 Odds Tracker
Read More

Prop #2: Kyler Murray More Passing Yards Than Jimmy Garoppolo

Player Odds at BetOnline
Kyler Murray +133
Jimmy Garoppolo -204

There’s no doubt Jimmy G will be more efficient than Kyler Murray on Thursday Night, but how much passing volume will the Niners actually need? This is a run-first team, that is a massive favorite, and if the last four weeks are any indication, Garoppolo won’t be throwing the ball much. San Fran’s QB hasn’t topped 181 passing yards in any of the Niners last four victories (all blowouts), while the team has run the ball at a 60% clip.

The Cardinals meanwhile, have no running game to speak of and with both David Johnson and Chase Edmonds sidelined, the entire offense will rest on Murray’s shoulders.

The number one overall pick has struggled in his last two starts, but he’s already put up three 300-yard passing games this season, and he’s likely going to push 40 attempts versus the 49ers. It might not be pretty, but in the end Murray should get there on sheer volume alone.

Pick: Murray More Passing Yards Than Garoppolo (+133)

Risk: 1 unit to win 1.33 units

Prop #3: Christian Kirk Over/Under 4.5 Receptions

Receiving Yards Odds at BetOnline
Over 4.5 -120
Under 4.5 -120

In the four full games Christian Kirk has played this season he’s seen target counts of 12, 8, 12 and 11. He’s clearly Murray’s number one option and he just so happens to draw the best possible matchup against this stout Niners defense.

San Fran is excellent at shutting down outside receivers, but Kirk operates almost exclusively in the slot. Fellow slot receivers Tyler Boyd, Juju Smith-Schuster and Jarvis Landry have all posted big numbers against the Niners and Kirk’s shallow average of depth of target should yield plenty of easy completions.

Pick: Kirk Over 4.5 Receptions (-120)

Risk: 1 unit to win 0.83 units

The post 49ers vs Cardinals Week 9 Thursday Night Football Props: Bet on the People’s Tight End appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.



from Sports Betting Dime https://ift.tt/2qe7NAX
via IFTTT
Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

The Players Championship Odds, Predictions, and Best Picks 2025

The Players Championship tees off Thursday, March 13th, 2025 Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +360 favorite to win this tournament for the third straight year See the 2025 Players Championship odds, picks, and best value bets below After Russell Henley won the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, the PGA Tour’s best head to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida for the “fifth major” – the Players Championship. It’s the crown jewel on the schedule, and the field is stacked as it tackles the quirky and confounding TPC Sawgrass, with Scottie Scheffler searching for a record third straight title at this tournament. 48 of the top 50 golfers in the world will be teeing it up (not Bryson DeChambeau or Tyrrell Hatton). The Players Championship Odds 2025 Golfers Odds Scottie Scheffler +360 Rory McIlroy +800 Collin Morikawa +1600 Xander Schauffele +1600 Ludvig Aberg +2000 Justin Thomas +2000 Hideki Matsuyama +2800 Tommy Fleetwood +3000 Patrick Cantlay +3...
Post a Comment
Read more

Early Indiana vs Notre Dame Prediction, Pick & Odds for CFP Playoffs Round 1

We’ve made our early Indiana vs Notre Dame prediction for the College Football Playoff first round The latest CFP odds favor the Fighting Irish by over a touchdown at home Read below for our Indiana vs Notre Dame prediction, picks, and odds The College Football Playoff kicks off with a blockbuster matchup between in-state foes, as the No. 10 seed Indiana Hoosiers (11-1) travel to South Bend to take on the No. 7 seed Notre Dame Fighting Irish (11-1). The Irish are laying 7.5 points at home in this one, with the total sitting at 50.5 points. This marks the first-ever meeting between these programs in the playoff, adding even more intrigue to what was already shaping up as one of the most compelling first-round clashes. The Fighting Irish are looking to reestablish themselves as a national powerhouse, while the Hoosiers are out to prove their magical season is no fluke. Oddsmakers are siding with the Irish, but the sharp money is going the other way… Indiana vs Notre Dame Odds ...
Post a Comment
Read more

SMU vs Houston Odds and Picks

#6 Houston is a 10-point home favorite over SMU on Sunday (Jan. 31st, 1 pm EST) The Cougars have won seven straight and beat the Mustangs by 14 in their first meeting See below for analysis, odds and a betting prediction This Sunday will be the first since Labour Day weekend without NFL games to sweat. But never fear, college hoops has you covered with an AAC matchup between SMU and #6 Houston starting at 1 pm EST. The Cougars (14-1, 9-1 AAC) have won seven straight, while the Mustangs (9-3, 5-3 AAC) salvaged a split in their home and home series with Memphis last time out. SMU vs #6 Houston Odds Team Spread Moneyline Total SMU Mustangs +10 (-110) OFF Over 139 (-110) Houston Cougars -10 (-110) OFF Under 139 (-110) Odds taken Jan. 30th. Houston opened up as a 10-point favorite , in a game that features a total of 139. The Cougars are fresh off a 23-point win over Tulane in their last contest, dominating the Green Wave despite missing leading scorer Que...
Post a Comment
Read more