- Golden State and Sacramento battle in Game 7 for a berth in the 2nd Round of the NBA Playoffs
- The Kings hammered the Warriors 118-99 in Game 6 to even the series
- Don’t miss the latest Warriors vs Kings Game 7 odds here, plus betting splits and Same-Game Parlay picks
In prime position to advance to Round 2 of the of the West’s NBA Playoff Bracket, the Golden State Warriors cratered in Game 6 against the Sacramento Kings.
Now, they’ll need to overcome their season-long weakness and find a way to win on the road in a winner-take-all Game 7.
Awaiting the victors are the Los Angeles Lakers, who wrapped up their First Round series against Memphis Friday night.
Game 7 goes Sunday (April 30) at 3:30pm ET from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA. You can watch the game live on ABC.
Kings vs Warriors Game 7 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | +1.5 (-110) | +105 | O 229.5 (-110) |
| Sacramento Kings | -1.5 (-110) | -125 | U 229.5 (-110) |
After getting -305 odds to close out the Kings at home (75.31% win probability), the Dubs are now 1.5-point road ‘dogs in the NBA odds, and +105 on the moneyline, an implied win probability of 48.78%. The game features a total of 229.5 points.
Odds as of April 29 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Warriors, Kings Reach The End
No one believed Sacramento could break a 3-game losing skid, bring it back to Sacramento and hold the Dubs to under 100 points, yet all of that happened in a 118-99 Game 6 win.
It was GState’s largest home loss with a chance to clinch a playoff series in franchise history.
This 40-second Malik Monk sequence…
-Pinpoint kickout pass to Fox for a corner 3
-Athletic block on Poole at the rim
-Deep 3 off the bounce pass🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/m2m86mDDzL
— Kevin O'Connor (@KevinOConnorNBA) April 29, 2023
Kentucky teammates De’Aaron Fox and Malik Monk were the drivers of the engine for Sacramento. Fox went for 26 points, 11 assists and four boards, while Monk tallied 28, seven rebounds and four dimes.
Credit Mike Brown for throwing a small-ball wrinkle into the mix, incorporating Trey Lyles as a small-ball five, letting the Kings play even faster. He also gave major minutes to guard Terrence Davis, who, despite fouling out, added a more physical element of defence on Steph Curry.
Another opportunity awaits on Sunday. pic.twitter.com/AwJC7OFeVM
— Golden State Warriors (@warriors) April 29, 2023
It’s usually the Dubs that dominate the three-point game, but they were outscored by 21 in that category by the Kings. As a team, the Warriors shot just 37.2% from the field and 31.3% from the three-point line.
Curry had 29 points, five boards and four assists to lead the Warriors, while Klay Thompson had 22 points and two rebounds. They didn’t have much help though, as Andrew Wiggins was the only other player to score in double digits.
Steve Kerr’s best adjustment might be to re-insert Draymond Green into the starting lineup. Green was dynamite off the bench in Game 5, but he was in foul trouble in Game 6, finishing with four points, 10 assists and four rebounds.
Golden State vs Sacramento Same-Game Parlay
Why not add some extra betting intrigue with a nice Same-Game parlay we’ve crafted for Game 7? Let’s start with Fox, who has not let a broken finger on his shooting hand slow him down. He’s gone for 20+ in every game this series.
Monk is the leading bench scorer in the playoffs, averaging 19.8 points per game, and he’s crossed this total four times already in this series.
Warriors vs Kings Game 7 Same-Game Parlay
| Pick | Odds |
|---|---|
| De’Aaron Fox OVER 25.5 points | -165 |
| Malik Monk OVER 17.5 points | +100 |
| Jordan Poole UNDER 16.5 points | +130 |
| Stephen Curry UNDER 5.5 rebounds | +105 |
| Same-Game Parlay Odds | +1100 |
While Monk is lighting it up, Jordan Poole is wilting under the pressure. He’s averaging just 12.7 points per game on 33.8% shooting in this series, and it’s even worse at SacTo, where he’s averaging 10.3 points.
Finally, Curry will be too busy emptying the holster to be doing an all-around thing, especially as he’s the focal point of the Sac defense, while Brown is trying to make him work on defense too.
Hit this, and you get a payout at +1100, a nice $110 profit on a $10 bet.
Warriors vs Kings Prediction
Does championship mettle overtake the worst road record of any team in the playoffs? Golden State finished the year 11-30 away from Chase, but if there is any encouraging sign, they’ve already won on the road — the 28th straight series they’ve done that.
And while their road record was poor, they did win back-to-back road games twice at the end of the year.
Sacramento has been the better bet in this head-to-head of late, running a 17-7 mark against the spread in the last 24 meetings.
However, the Kings are just 14-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
This one really does have the potential to go any way, but I am confident that as this game gets to the second half, possessions will be more crucial, as buckets will come at a premium.
Throw in the fact that the under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in Sacramento between these teams, and that’s enough to target the total.
Pick:
- UNDER 229.5 points (-110); 1.5 units to win 1.36 units
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