- LSU vs Ole Miss takes place in College Football Week 5 on Saturday
- We’ve made our game prediction, focusing specifically on the over/under
- Read below for LSU vs Ole Miss prediction, picks and odds
The SEC West is heating up as No. 13 LSU travels to Oxford to face No. 20 Ole Miss this weekend. Kickoff for Saturday’s Week 5 college football is 6:00 PM at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, with ESPN carrying the broadcast.
The latest LSU vs Ole Miss odds price the Tigers as 2.5-point favorites, with the game total set at 67.5 points. Both teams have had their share of ups and downs this season, making this matchup a crucial one for the divisional race.
Let’s analyze the LSU vs Ole Miss odds and offer our prediction for this Saturday night CFB game.
LSU vs Ole Miss Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| LSU Tigers | -2.5 (-110) | -135 | Over 67.5 (-110) |
| Ole Miss Rebels | +2.5 (-110) | +110 | Under 67.5 (-110) |
The Tigers are -135 moneyline favorites over the Rebels in the Week 5 College football odds, giving them an implied win probability of 57.5%.
Odds as of September 29, 2023, at BetMGM Sportsbook. Claim the BetMGM promo code to bet on LSU vs Ole Miss this Saturday.
LSU vs Ole Miss Recent History
Recent history clearly favors LSU in this Week 5 SEC matchup. The Tigers secured a convincing 45-20 victory over Ole Miss last season and have won six of their last seven games against the Rebels.
| Date | Location | LSU Score | Ole Miss Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/22/2022 | Baton Rouge, LA | 45 | 20 | LSU |
| 10/23/2021 | Oxford, MS | 17 | 31 | Ole Miss |
| 12/19/2020 | Baton Rouge, LA | 53 | 48 | LSU |
| 11/16/2019 | Oxford, MS | 58 | 37 | LSU |
| 09/29/2018 | Baton Rouge, LA | 45 | 16 | LSU |
However, Ole Miss won the last time these two teams met at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in 2021. The game is set to have a significant impact on the SEC West title race, and both teams are looking for revenge for past losses.
Tigers Betting Analysis
The LSU Tigers are entering this game with a 3-1 record, having recently extended their winning streak to three games with a 34-31 victory over Arkansas. However, it’s worth noting that they failed to cover the spread as heavy favorites in that game.
The Tigers are led on offense by Jayden Daniels, a dynamic quarterback who can beat defenses with both his arm and legs. He has thrown for over 10,000 yards and rushed for over 2,000 yards in his college career thus far.
#LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels leads the SEC in passing yards per game (324 YPG), pass efficiency (189.08 rating), and passing touchdowns (12). He’s also #1 in the SEC and #3 nationally in total offense🔥🔥 pic.twitter.com/ByS8y7USIb
— Mik’d Up (@Mikdup_8) September 28, 2023
In LSU’s tight victory over Arkansas, Daniels threw for 320 yards and four touchdowns to lead his team to victory. Running back Logan Diggs also impressed in the win, racking up 97 rushing yards on 14 carries.
Defensively, Brian Kelly’s team has been struggling, allowing an average of 228 yards per game and a troubling 25 points per contest. In the team’s lone loss to Florida State, they were torched by talented quarterback Jordan Travis for 350 yards through the air.
Rebels Betting Analysis
The Ole Miss Rebels also hold a 3-1 record but are looking to bounce back after suffering their first loss of the season, a 24-10 defeat at the hands of Alabama. Despite the loss, the Rebels’ high-flying offense remains one of the most potent in college football.
REBS LEAD!
🎯 @JaxsonDart pic.twitter.com/3xsRdzwsdq
— Ole Miss Football (@OleMissFB) September 23, 2023
Quarterback Jaxson Dart has been a key playmaker for Ole Miss, leading the team in rushing yards and touchdowns. Dart has thrown for 1,096 yards and seven touchdowns this season, while wide receivers Jordan Watkins and Dayton Wade have both crossed 300 receiving yards,
Defense tends to be the kryptonite of Lane Kiffin-coached teams, and it’s no different in 2023. The Rebels are giving up 351.8 yards and 18.5 per game, which places them in the bottom half of the SEC conference in both categories.
LSU vs Ole Miss Prediction
This game promises to be an exciting clash between two talented teams. Both LSU and Ole Miss have explosive offenses capable of putting up big numbers. However, LSU’s defense has been more consistent this season, which could give them an edge in this matchup.
While LSU has the historical advantage and a slight edge in form, Ole Miss has the home advantage and an offense that can explode at any moment. That’s why we’re targeting the “over” with our LSU vs Ole Miss prediction.
The last five LSU vs Ole Miss games have seen an average of 74 combined points scored, and we don’t see a reason to buck the trend. One key reason we like this pick is that neither team has been able to stop third downs this year, with Ole Miss ranking 90th and LSU ranking 101st, respectively, in that important category.
- LSU vs Ole Miss Pick: Over 67.5 Points (-110)
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