- Oregon vs Washington is the College Football Pac-12 Championship Game on Friday
- The latest betting odds favor the Ducks by 9.5 points over the Huskies in Las Vegas
- Read below for Oregon vs Washingon prediction, odds and player props for the Pac-12 Championship
The Pac-12 Championship game on Friday night features a matchup between the #6 Oregon Ducks and the #8 Washington Huskies. Kickoff is set for 8:00 PM ET at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas and the game will be televised nationally on FOX.
According to most sportsbooks, Oregon is currently a 9.5-point favorite with the over/under set at 65.5 points. The Huskies come into this game with a perfect 12-0 record after defeating rival Washington State 51-33 last week. Oregon is 11-1 on the season, with its only loss coming at the hands of Washington earlier this season.
Let’s get into the Oregon vs Washington odds, as we provide our prediction and the best player props to bet.
Oregon vs Washington Odds – Pac-12 Championship Game
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon | -9.5 (-115) | -365 | Over 65.5 (-110) |
| Washington | +9.5 (-105) | +285 | Under 65.5 (-110) |
In the Oregon vs Washington odds, the Ducks are -365 moneyline favorites, implying there is a 79% chance Dan Lanning’s team wins the game outright.
This Pac-12 title game will have major playoff implications. The winner will have a strong case to earn a spot in the College Football Playoff. The loser will likely end up in a New Year’s Six bowl game.
The Ducks are currently -280 in the odds to make the CFP, while Washington is offered at +240.
Odds as of November 29, 2023, at FanDuel Sportsbook. Claim the FanDuel promo for November to bet on the Pac-12 Championship.
Oregon Betting Analysis
The Ducks have been led all season long by quarterback Bo Nix, who has put himself squarely in the Heisman Trophy conversation. The transfer from Auburn has thrown for 3,906 yards, 37 touchdowns and just two interceptions while also rushing for six scores.
His top targets include wide receivers Troy Franklin and Tez Johnson, who have combined for over 1,500 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns. Oregon passes the ball on 53% of their plays and currently lead the Pac-12 in passing yards (352 ypg).
BO NIX ➡️ TROY FRANKLIN 🙌
WHAT A THROW ‼️
(via @CFBONFOX)pic.twitter.com/90LUNlx6ej
— Sports Illustrated (@SInow) November 25, 2023
The Oregon ground game is powered by running back Bucky Irving, who has rushed for over 1,000 yards this season. When the Ducks get near the goal line, Irving has proven to be a workhorse with a large portion of Oregon’s 25 red zone rushing touchdowns.
Defensively, defensive backs Evan Williams and Khyree Jackson lead the way. Williams has racked up over 70 tackles while Jackson has three interceptions. The Ducks have held opponents to just 16 points per game this season.
Washington Betting Analysis
Washington’s offense runs through quarterback Michael Penix Jr., who leads the nation in passing yards with over 4,000. His top targets are wide receivers Rome Odunze and Jalen McMillan, who both have over 1,000 receiving yards.
Ladies & Gentlemen… Michael Penix Jr.
Thank you, 9.#Penix4Heisman #BeLikeMike | @themikepenix pic.twitter.com/7lfArb2Wdw
— Washington Football (@UW_Football) November 25, 2023
The Huskies ground game has taken a step forward late in the season behind RB Dillon Johnson. He’s rushed for an average of 133 yards in the last four weeks, which is huge with the team losing Cam Davis to injury early in the season. Davis’ absence is still evident, however, as the Huskies only rank 8th in the conference in rushing on the season.
Linebacker Dominique Hampton is the leader of the Washington defense and is tops on the team with 88 tackles. The Huskies secondary is led by cornerback Jabbar Muhammad, who has three interceptions on the year. Overall, the Washington defense surrenders a mediocre 23 points per game.
Oregon vs Washington Player Props
When it comes to Oregon vs Washington player props for the Pac-12 Championship Game, a few bets stick out as good value heading into Friday’s contest. Our top play is going to be the “over” on the receiving yards total for Oregon wide receiver Troy Franklin.
Franklin has been Nix’s top target all season and has been on fire with three straight games of at least 128 yards. Furthermore, in his first matchup against Washington, Franklin caught eight passes for 154 yards and a TD. FanDuel is offering Franklin’s receiving yards for the rematch at 102.5 yards.
Washington’s defense has allowed nearly 200 yards per game to receivers this season, which is bottom-10 in all of FBS. Part of those struggles can be attributed to the fact they haven’t been able to bring down the quarterback very often (1.58 sacks per game). Franklin should feast once again Friday against this struggling secondary.
Oregon Ducks junior WR Troy Franklin regular season stat totals:
🦆 77 Catches
🦆 1,349 Yards
🦆17.5 YPR
🦆 14 TDsThe Ducks wideout doesn’t get enough respect and he’s a STUD. 📈 pic.twitter.com/dq4b6SW41C
— College Football Alerts (@CFBAlerts_) November 29, 2023
On the Washington side, we’re locking in an “under” for the passing yards total of quarterback Michael Penix Jr. The Indiana transfer threw four TD passes in the first meetings, but it might surprise you to learn he only threw for 302 total yards. Since the Oregon game, Penix has actually only averaged 266 passing yards.
This Oregon secondary is the real deal, leading the Pac-12 with just 214 yards per game allowed through the air. They rank 15th nationally in defensive coverage against receivers (per PFF), which means they should be able to limit the amount of big plays from UW’s Odunze and McMillan.
We also love the Oregon vs Washington line movement as it pertains to his prop bet, as the spread has moved a point in Oregon’s direction and the total has dropped two points. This indicates the sharps are forecasting a Ducks cover with UW not putting up a ton of points.
Player Prop Picks:
- Troy Franklin OVER 102.5 Receiving Yards (-114 at FD)
- Michael Penix Jr. UNDER 300.5 Passing Yards (-115 at DK)
Oregon vs Washington Prediction
The Huskies won the first meeting earlier this season, but these two teams have clearly been on different wavelengths since then. Oregon has been winning by an average of 26 points following that game, while Washington’s last eight wins were by 10 points or fewer.
Aside from Bo Nix playing much better than Michael Penix Jr. right now, a key matchup edge for Oregon is third downs. The Ducks are third in the FBS in third-down conversion percentage, while Washington’s defense ranks 89th in third-down conversions allowed.
We gave out Oregon ATS in our college football conference championship against the spread picks, and we’re sticking with them here in our Oregon vs Washington prediction. The Ducks are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games and have covered in four straight meetings against Washington.
- ORE vs WSH Pick: Oregon -9.5 (-115)
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