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3 Early Super Bowl Bets to Make Before These Lines Move

  • The majority of Super Bowl 58 odds are already posted for San Francisco vs Kansas City
  • Travis Kelce opened with an over/under of just 69.5 receiving yards
  • See three Super Bowl 58 bets to target earlier rather than later when the odds have shifted

Super Bowl 58 between the San Francisco 49ers (14-5, 9-10 ATS) and Kansas City Chiefs (14-6, 12-7-1 ATS) won’t take place for another 13 days, but sportsbooks have already posted the vast majority of their odds.

With nearly two weeks for the public to make their Super Bowl bets, the odds for the game tend to see more movement than the odds for any other football game during the season. With that in mind, here are three wagers you would do well to jump on sooner rather than later.

NFL Super Bowl Bets to Make

Pick Odds
Travis Kelce over 69.5 receiving yards -190
Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD -110
Brock Purdy under 1.5 passing TDs -110

Odds as of January 29 on the FanDuel app. Claim a huge FanDuel sign up promo to use on your Super Bowl bets. 

Pick #1: Travis Kelce Over 69.5 Receiving Yards

After an underwhelming end to the regular season, in which he failed to hit 70 yards in three in a row, Kelce has gone over this number in three straight games (i.e. each of Kansas City’s playoff games). Going back to last season, he’s gone over 70 receiving yards in six straight playoff games and 12 of his past 13 postseason contests.

It’s not like he’s been feasting on mediocre competition, either. He just lit up Baltimore’s top-rated defense (per DVOA) for 116 yards on 11 catches. The week prior, he had 75 yards on six catches against the Bills in freezing conditions at Orchard Park.

Second all-time in playoff receiving yards, Kelce is being undervalued in this market. Moreover, once the general public starts looking for props to bet, they are going to flock to the massively-popular KC tight end.  When Swifties start betting this prop, you can be sure they’re going to bet the over, pushing the line up as game day approaches.

Pick #2: Christian McCaffrey Anytime TD

With two touchdowns in the NFC Championship Game against Detroit, 49ers running back Christian McCaffrey continued his streak of scoring at least one major in every playoff game he has ever played (seven total TDs in six playoff games).

Kansas City’s rush defense did an excellent job of containing Baltimore’s league-best ground game in the AFC Championship, but McCaffrey is almost as dangerous as a pass catcher as he is as a running back.

McCaffrey also tied for the league lead in touchdowns scored during the regular season with 21 in just 16 games (14 rushing and seven receiving). He only failed to score a touchdown in three games. Dating back to last season, he’s scored at least one TD in 25 of his past 28 games, including the postseason.

Going into the NFC Championship Game against Detroit, CMC was listed at -330 to score a touchdown. This number is going to close on the shorter side of -200 two Sundays from now.

Opening Super Bowl Player Props – Player Over/Unders for 49ers vs Chiefs
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Pick #3: Brock Purdy under 1.5 passing TDs

In 18 total games this season, Purdy has an even 9-to-9 split in terms of games with fewer than two TD passes versus games with at least two TD passes. But he has only thrown one TD pass in each of the first two postseason games, which makes it three straight playoff games under 1.5 TD passes dating back to last season. (Purdy threw zero in San Francisco’s 19-12 win over Dallas in 2023 Divisional Round before getting knocked out of the NFC title game against Philadelphia after just four pass attempts.)

Kansas City’s defense has held each of its first three postseason opponents (Miami, Buffalo, Baltimore) to just one TD pass each, even though those three teams all rated in the top-four passing offenses in the league according to PFF.

In the second half against Detroit, Purdy found a rhythm he’d been missing for weeks while leading his team on an epic 17-point comeback. But the Lions also had a considerably worse pass defense than Kansas City, which – between L’Jarius Sneed, Justin Sneed, and Trent McDuffie – features one of the best secondaries in the NFL.

The post 3 Early Super Bowl Bets to Make Before These Lines Move appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.



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