- The Denver Nuggets are favored to complete their sweep of the LA Lakers tonight
- Aaron Gordon is an intriguing player to target in the NBA player props market
- Read below for Denver Nuggets vs LA Lakers Game 4 odds, prediction and player props
The Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers are set to play Game 4 on Saturday, April 27, 2024, at 8:30 PM ET at the Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. The game will be nationally televised on ABC.
The Nuggets, leading the series 3-0, enter as 3.5-point favorites, with the over/under for total points set at 218.5. NBA player props favor strong performances from Nikola Jokic and LeBron James.
Let’s dive into our Nuggets vs Lakers Game 4 prediction, as we analyze the odds and provide player props to bet.
Nuggets vs Lakers Game 4 Odds
| Team | Spread | Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN Nuggets | -4.0 (-105) | -170 | Over 218.0 (-110) |
| LA Lakers | +4.0 (-115) | +145 | Under 218.0 (-110) |
In the Saturday NBA Playoff odds, the Lakers are +145 home underdogs, giving them 40.8% implied probability to avoid the sweep.
Despite looking dominant through three games, the reigning champion Nuggets are the second betting choice (+236) in the NBA Championship odds behind the Boston Celtics.
SPORTSBOOK
Odds as of April 27, 2024, at Bet365 Sportsbook. Get $150 in bonus bets with the Bet365 promo code SBDXLM for Nuggets vs Lakers Game 4.
Nuggets Continue to Dominate Lakers
The Nuggets have utterly dominated the Lakers, winning 11 straight games against their Western Conference rivals, including a potential second consecutive playoff sweep. In Game 3, Denver rallied from a halftime deficit for the third consecutive game, showcasing their ability to finish strong.
Nikola Jokic led the way with 24 points, 15 rebounds, and nine assists, while Aaron Gordon had a standout performance with 29 points, 15 rebounds, and three assists. Jamal Murray added twenty-two points, and Michael Porter Jr. contributed twenty points and ten rebounds.
Nikola Jokic: "Winning is a lifestyle for us."
"I was here when we were losing, so I don't want to go back to that." pic.twitter.com/0jbaLEw5Ke
— Harrison Wind (@HarrisonWind) April 26, 2024
Jokic has been unstoppable throughout the series, averaging 27.7 points, 15.7 rebounds, and 8.7 assists per game. His basketball IQ and ability to score from all three levels make him an unguardable nightmare for the Lakers.
Despite shooting below his regular season average, Murray has hit clutch shots, including the game-winner in Game 2. Porter Jr. has been solid, shooting 50% from the field in the last five meetings against the Lakers.
The Nuggets’ depth and versatility have been key factors in their success. They have outrebounded the Lakers in all three games, including a commanding 51-38 advantage in Game 3. Denver’s defense has also been impressive, holding the Lakers to an average of 102 points per game in the series.
Lakers Backs Are Against the Wall
Conversely, the Lakers find themselves in a must-win situation, hoping to avoid elimination on their home court. Despite solid performances from their stars, LeBron James and Anthony Davis, the Lakers have struggled to maintain leads and close out games.
James is averaging 26.3 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 9.7 assists in the series, while Davis has been the Lakers’ best player, recording at least thirty-two points and thirteen rebounds in each game.
The Lakers’ supporting cast has been inconsistent. D’Angelo Russell struggled in Game Three, scoring zero points on 0-7 shooting, while Austin Reaves has shot just 31% from three-point range in the series. The Lakers will need more production from their role players to have a chance at extending the series.
Historically, no team has ever overcome a 3-0 deficit in a best-of-seven NBA playoff series.
In his illustrious career, LeBron James has faced a 3-0 deficit only four times, with his teams going 1-3 in those Game Four situations. However, James has averaged 29.5 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 9.5 assists in those games, often going down swinging.
Nuggets vs Lakers Player Props for Game 4
Nuggets vs Lakers props are now available at online sportsbooks, with Anthony Davis, LeBron James and Nikola Jokic all sharing projected point totals of 26.5.
| Player | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Three-Pointers Made |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis | 26.5 (O -108 | U -112) | 13.5 (O -105 | U -115) | 2.5 (O -166 | U +140) | 0.5 (O +124 | U -148) |
| LeBron James | 26.5 (O -115 | U -105) | 7.5 (O -130 | U +110) | 8.5 (O -135 | U +114) | 1.5 (O -125 | U +105) |
| Nikola Jokic | 26.5 (O -122 | U +102) | 12.5 (O -125 | U +105) | 8.5 (O -142 | U +120) | 1.5 (O +180 | U -218) |
| Jamal Murray | 23.5 (O -118 | U -102) | 4.5 (O +100 | U -120) | 7.5 (O +110 | U -130) | 2.5 (O -108 | U -112) |
| Austin Reaves | 15.5 (O +102 | U -122) | 4.5 (O +102 | U -122) | 4.5 (O +105 | U -125) | 1.5 (O -162 | U +136) |
| Aaron Gordon | 14.5 (O -118 | U -102) | 7.5 (O +105 | U -125) | 3.5 (O -142 | U +120) | 0.5 (O -108 | U -112) |
| D’Angelo Russell | 14.5 (O -120 | U +100) | 2.5 (O -148 | U +124) | 4.5 (O -108 | U -112) | 2.5 (O -130 | U +110) |
| Michael Porter Jr. | 17.5 (O -112 | U -108) | 7.5 (O +102 | U -122) | OFF | 2.5 (O -135 | U +114) |
| Rui Hachimura | 10.5 (O +105 | U -125) | 4.5 (O +110 | U -130) | OFF | 0.5 (O -192 | U +160) |
| Taurean Prince | 6.5 (O +110 | U -130) | 2.5 (O -130 | U +110) | OFF | 1.5 (O +170 | U -205) |
Player prop odds as of Apr. 27 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Gordon’s points, rebounds, and assists prop betting total for Game 4 is set at 26.5. During the regular season, he averaged 14 points, 6.5 rebounds, and 3.5 assists in about 31.8 minutes per game. In the playoffs, his minutes have increased to 37 per game, and he’s averaging 18 points, 11 rebounds, and four assists.
In last year’s Game Four, with the Nuggets also up 3-0, Gordon posted 22 points, six rebounds, and five assists in 41 minutes as Denver completed the sweep. We expect a similar, if not better, performance from Gordon this time around.
Game 4 Prop Pick:
- Aaron Gordon Over 26.5 Points, Rebounds & Assists (-110)
Nuggets vs Lakers Game 4 Prediction
If Jokic continues his dominant play and receives support from Murray, Gordon, and Porter Jr., the Nuggets will be in a prime position to advance to the next round. Denver has covered the spread in two of the three games in this series and are 3-2 against the spread in their last five road games.
While the Lakers will undoubtedly come out with a sense of desperation, the Nuggets’ depth and ability to execute in crunch time makes them our best bet for Saturday. Expect another strong performance from Nikola Jokic and a standout game from Aaron Gordon, who has been a key contributor throughout the series.
Look for the Nuggets to complete the sweep and advance to the next round of the playoffs. The Lakers are just are 1-6 ATS in their last seven playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
DEN vs LAK Game 4 Pick:
- Nuggets ML (-170)
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