- Tournament favorites Space battle Georgia in the Euro 2024 knockout stage
- The Saturday Round of 16 odds heavily favor the Spaniards over the Crusaders
- See below for Spain vs Georgia odds, predictions and lineups for Sunday, June 30th
The Euro 2024 knockout stage kicks off on Saturday with a true David versus Goliath matchup as tournament favorites Spain face Cinderella side Georgia in Cologne.
Spain breezed through Group B with three wins and no goals conceded, making light work of Croatia, Italy, and Albania. Meanwhile, Georgia stunned the football world by blanking Portugal 2-0 in their group finale, nabbing third place in Group F and booking an unlikely spot in the round of 16 in their European Championship debut.
The Red Fury are, unsurprisingly, massive Spain vs Georgia odds favorites to send the Crusaders packing and end their fairy-tale run.
Spain vs Georgia Odds
| Team | Moneyline | Total | To Qualify |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -550 | Over 2.5 (-140) | -2000 |
| Georgia | +1400 | Under 2.5 (+110) | +920 |
| Draw | +600 | N/A | N/A |
The Spaniards enter the match as massive -550 favorites to advance in the Spain vs Georgia odds. La Furia Roja are -454 to win in 90 minutes with Georgia at long +900 odds to pull off the upset and the draw priced at +600. The total is set at 2.5 goals, juiced to the over at -140.
These teams aren’t strangers, having faced each other twice in qualifying. Spain won those matches by a combined 10-2 scoreline, triumphing 7-1 in Tbilisi before a 3-1 victory in Gijon. All time, Spain are undefeated against Georgia, winning six of seven meetings (6-1-0).
Odds as of June 28 at FanDuel Sportsbook. See the best sports betting app for Euro 2024.
Spain Recent Results
| Opponent | Result | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Albania | W 1-0 | Jun 26 |
| Italy | W 1-0 | Jun 21 |
| Croatia | W 3-0 | Jun 16 |
| Iceland | L 1-0 | Jun 7 |
| Bosnia & Herzegovina | W 3-0 | Jun 3 |
Under new coach Luis de la Fuente, Spain have gotten back to basics and back to their winning ways. A mix of wily veterans and talented youngsters have La Roja firing on all cylinders. Having won Group B at a canter, they even had the luxury of resting nearly their entire starting XI for the Albania match.
Some wondered if De la Fuente had the chops for this job, but he’s silenced the critics with his results so far. A varied attack has produced five goals from four different scorers, while the defense has yet to be penetrated.
Alvaro Morata, who opened the scoring in a 3-0 win over Croatia, looks primed for a big performance – he memorably scored a hat trick as Spain routed Georgia 7-1 in Tbilisi during qualifying last September. Consider betting him as an anytime goalscorer at +100 odds.
Georgia Recent Results
| Opponent | Result | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal | W 2-0 | Jun 26 |
| Czech Republic | D 1-1 | Jun 21 |
| Turkey | L 1-3 | Jun 17 |
| Wales | W 4-0 | Jun 9 |
| San Marino | W 4-0 | Jun 5 |
At the other end of the European Championship experience spectrum is Georgia. Given little hope of escaping Group F in their maiden Euros voyage, the Crusaders have already made history by making the knockouts.
Much of the credit goes to goalkeeper Giorgi Mamardashvili, who’s made 21 stops at a tournament-high save percentage of 84%, and the attacking tandem of Khvicha Kvaratskhelia and Georges Mikautadze.
🎥 Giorgi Mamardashvili Highlights
🧱 Most goals prevented in La Liga (9.3)
🧱 Most goals prevented in the Euros (3.1)
🧱 Most saves per 90 in the Euros (8.0)❓Is he the goalkeeper FC Barcelona needs?
— Barça Spaces (@BarcaSpaces) June 27, 2024
At just 22-years-old, Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze are two of the breakout stars of these Euros. The duo have combined for all four of Georgia’s goals, with Kvaratskhelia notching a goal and two assists and Mikautadze banging in three goals to top the early Golden Boot table.
These two linked up brilliantly for Georgia’s tournament-defining opener against Portugal inside two minutes, and will look to conjure more magic against Spain.
Spain vs Georgia Projected Lineups
Spain (4-3-3): Unai Simon; Jordi Alba, Aymeric Laporte, Pau Torres, César Azpilicueta; Sergio Busquets, Rodri, Pedri; Ferran Torres, Álvaro Morata, Dani Olmo
Georgia (4-2-3-1): Giorgi Mamardashvili; Guram Kashia, Solomon Kvirkvelia, Otar Kakabadze, Giorgi Navalovski; Jaba Kankava, Nika Kvekveskiri; Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Giorgi Chakvetadze, Valeri Qazaishvili; Levan Mchedlidze
With a fully fit and rested squad at his disposal, Luis de la Fuente will likely revert to the same XI that started Spain’s first two games. The Barcelona midfield trio of Pedri, Rodri, and Sergio Busquets should control the tempo, allowing the forward line of Morata, Ferran Torres, and Dani Olmo to wreak havoc.
Sagnol has found a winning formula with Georgia’s 4-2-3-1 shape and is unlikely to change what’s working now. Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze will be dangerous on the break, but Spain’s possession dominance means Georgia’s defensive discipline will be tested.
Spain vs Georgia Prediction
Spain have the look of a team on a mission. After the disaster that was their 2022 World Cup, De la Fuente has instilled determination and killer instinct back into La Roja. They have not made a single mistake so far and should assert their authority right from the beginning.
A Georgia win would go down as one of the biggest upsets in European Championship history. And while you can never completely count out a team with the attacking quality Kvaratskhelia and Mikautadze bring, it’s impossible to bet against Spain’s massive talent advantage here.
Back La Furia Roja to win by at least two goals, on a 3-1 scoreline.
- Pick: Spain -1.5 (-105)
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