- The Milwaukee Bucks are 2.5-point home underdogs when they host the Denver Nuggets
- Denver has won 10 of its last 11 games
- See the Nuggets vs Bucks predictions, player props, and best available odds on Feb. 27
After a successful start to their 4-game road trip, the Denver Nuggets (38-20, 18-11 away) clash with another East heavy when they visit the Milwaukee Bucks (32-25, 19-9 home). It’s also a matchup of two of the Top 3 candidates in the 2025 NBA MVP odds, Giannis Antetokounmpo and Nikola Jokic. Despite a solid 19-9 home record, the Bucks are the underdogs in the NBA odds. Action tips off Thursday night at 8pm ET, from Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, with TNT carrying the broadcast.
Nuggets vs Bucks Odds
The Bucks enter this one as 2.5-point road favorites, including -142 odds on the moneyline. The total is set to 240.0 points, with -110 odds on either side. It’s a figure these teams have failed to cross in nine straight head-to-head matchups.
There are some notable names on the injured list. For Denver, Aaron Gordon (calf) and Jamal Murray (knee), are listed as probable, while forward Vlatko Cancar (knee) has been ruled out.
Antetokounmpo is on the Bucks’ injured list, as he’s dealing with a calf strain, but he’s probable against Denver. Reserve Pat Connaughton (calf) will not play Thursday.
MIL vs DEN Player Props
NBA player props from DraftKings on February 27.
SPORTSBOOK
Not surprising that the MVPs are all over the props. Antetokounpo has the highest prop at 27.5, with Jokic just behind him at 26.5. The Denver center has failed to lead his team in scoring in four straight and eight of the last nine. He’s coming off an 18-point game against Indiana, though he did set a career-high with 19 assists. It’s the first time this season he’ll be coming off back-to-back sub-20 point efforts.
Jokic and Giannis also have a share of the top rebound total at 11.5, while Jokic leads all with an assist line at 10.5.
Point guards Damian Lillard (24.5) and Jamal Murray (20.5) are the only other players that have scoring totals set above 20 points.
Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Predictions
- Nuggets vs Bucks pick: Under 240 points (-110)
- Nuggets vs Bucks prop pick: Jokic Over 10.5 assists (-125)
Perhaps a humbling loss at home to the Lakers was what Denver needed to start their road trip. After that 23-point loss to LA snapped theNuggets’ 9-game win streak, they got right back to it with a 125-116 win over the Pacers.
Indiana is the first of four teams that Denver will visit this trip that reside in the East’s Top 6, with Milwaukee Thursday, and through the weekend against Detroit and Boston.
The Nuggets haven’t exactly risen to the occasion against above .500 squads, with just a 13-14 record on the year, tied for the second-fewest wins in the West’s Top 6.
Denver has been lights out on offense over the last 11, putting up 125.4 points per game, shooting 48.8% from the field and 38.2% from downtown.
They’ll be going against a Milwaukee defense that has been much-improved over the last five games, holing teams to just 105 points per game, the fourth-best mark in the league over that span. Teams are shooting 42.2% from the field, and 30.7% from 3-point range.
The Bucks just had their four-game win streak snapped in Houston last time out, dropping a 100-97 decision to the Rockets.
They struggle more than Denver against teams with .500 or better records, going 8-14, the only team in the East’s Top 6 not in double-digit wins in that category.
Denver hasn’t exactly shined as a road favorite, going 9-12-0 against the spread, while the Bucks are just 14-13-1 ATS as a home team.
These teams have split each of the last three regular series at a win each, and all but one have been by double digits. With not a lot of certainty via the moneyline or spread, I’m inclined to stick to go Under the massive 240 total. It’s cashed in four straight head-to-heads, and these teams haven’t crossed that number since 2020, in a 127-115 Denver win in Milwaukee.
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