Skip to main content

A.I. NFL Picks for Every Week 1 Game

  • SportRadar’s A.I. has analyzed every NFL Week 1 game and set out its ATS and O/U picks for all 16 games
  • Overall, our A.I. picks like the under to hi in 12 of 16 games
  • Below, see our A.I. NFL picks for every Week 1 game

It’s a brave new world for NFL bettors, one in which certain people (myself included) can ask sophisticated A.I. models to analyze matchups and provide best bets. That’s exactly what I have done using the internal A.I. from SportRadar, SBD’s parent company.

Below, I have set out our A.I.’s picks against the spread and O/U predictions for all 16 games on the Week 1 schedule.

A.I. NFL Picks for Week 1

Game ATS Pick O/U Pick
Cowboys vs Eagles PHI -7 Over 46.5
Chiefs vs Chargers KC -3.5 Under 45.5
Buccaneers vs Falcons ATL +2.5 Under 47.5
Dolphins vs Colts IND -1.5 Over 46.5
Steelers vs Jets PIT -3 Under 38.5
Panthers vs Jaguars JAX -3 Over 46.5
Giants vs Commanders WSH -6 Under 45.5
Cardinals vs Saints ARI -6.5 Under 42.5
Bengals vs Browns CIN -6 Under 46.5
Raiders vs Patriots LV +2.5 Under 42.5
49ers vs Seahawks SEA +2.5 Under 44.5
Titans vs Broncos DEN -7.5 Under 41.5
Lions vs Packers DET +2.5 Over 46.5
Texans vs Rams HOU +2.5 Under 44.5
Ravens vs Bills BAL +0.5 Under 51.5
Vikings vs Bears CHI +1.5 Under 42.5

Picks generated on August 30, 2025. All odds from Draftkings. Claim the top football betting promo codes ahead of Week 1.

Bookmark SBD’s NFL odds page and NFL public betting splits to see up-to-the-minute lines and the betting trends for each game of the season.

  • BETMGM SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS

    CLAIM OFFER
  • BET365 SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365

    CLAIM OFFER
  • FANATICS SPORTSBOOK

    BET & GET UP TO $1,000 IN FANCASH!

    CLAIM OFFER
  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IN BONUS BETS INSTANTLY + OVER $200 OFF NFL SUNDAY TICKET!

    CLAIM OFFER
  • FANDUEL SPORTSBOOK

    BET $5 & GET $300 IF YOUR BET WINS

    CLAIM OFFER
  • CAESARS SPORTSBOOK

    USE CODE SBD20X & BET $1 TO DOUBLE THE WINNINGS ON YOUR FIRST 20 WAGERS!

    CLAIM OFFER

  • DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS).

  • Must be 21+. GAMBLING PROBLEM? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (CO, IL, KS, KY, MD, MI, NC, NJ, OH, PA, TN, VA, VT, WV, WY); (800) 327-5050 or gamblinghelplinema.org (MA); (877) 8-HOPENY (NY); 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ); (888) 789-7777 (CT); 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA); 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN); mdgamblinghelp.org (MD); morethanagame.nc.gov (NC); 1800gambler.net (WV)

AI Picks for NFL Week 1 Skew Heavily to Unders

Unders are the most-pronounced trend in our AI picks for Week 1. The model likes the under in 12 of 16 games (75%), which includes targeting the under in the lowest total on the board: 38.5 in Steelers vs Jets, a number which opened at 41.5. The PIT/NYJ total was as low as 37.5 last week before some buy-back on the over.

Totals were split an even 8-8 in Week 1 of last season, but unders went a torrid 12-4 in Week 1 of the 2023 campaign.

AI NFL Picks Almost Evenly Split Between Favorites and Underdogs in Week 1

Our model isn’t showing a particular bias towards favorites or underdogs in Week 1. The 16 ATS picks include nine favorites to cover and seven underdogs.

It is, however, showing a potential bias towards big favorites. Five Week 1 spreads are sitting at six points or higher: Eagles (-7) vs Cowboys, Commanders (-6) vs Giants, Bengals (-6) at Browns, Broncos (-7.5) vs Titans, and Cardinals (-6.5) at Saints. Our AI model likes the favorite to cover in all five.

Last year, favorites of six points or more went just 0-2-1. In 2023, they went 1-1, though that drops to 1-3 when you include five-point spreads.

So, here, our AI model is very much going against recent Week 1 trends.

Home Teams and Road Teams on Equal Footing in A.I. Picks for NFL Week 1

Notably, our A.I. NFL picks are evenly split between home teams and road teams, with our A.I. model taking eight home squads and eight visiting teams to cover the spread in NFL Week 1.

Home teams were an impressive 9-6 ATS last year (excluding the Packers/Eagles game in São Paulo, Brazil), but an abysmal 4-12 ATS in Week 1 of 2023.

Note that the Chiefs/Chargers matchup in Week 1 of this season will also take place in São Paulo.

Sign Up for SBD’s Newsletter Now

Did you want the latest sports betting news, analysis, picks, betting trends, and relevant data straight to your inbox? If so, you’ll want to subscribe to SBD’s newsletter now!

The post A.I. NFL Picks for Every Week 1 Game appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.



from Sports Betting Dime https://ift.tt/z51xbYG
via IFTTT
Labels:

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Genesis Scottish Open Picks, Predictions & Odds for 2025

The 2025 Genesis Scottish Open tees off Thursday, July 10th, from North Berwick, Scotland Scottie Scheffler is the +340 favorite over 2023 champ Rory McIlroy See my 2025 Genesis Scottish Open odds, picks, and best value bets, below The world’s best golfers head overseas for the Genesis Scottish Open, a tournament co-sanctioned by the PGA Tour and DP World Tour, and it features plenty of star power. It’s contested at the Renaissance Club in Scotland, and it’s the final tune-up before the last major of 2025 – the Open Championship. Since this has been an official PGA Tour event, Xander Schauffele, Rory McIlroy and Robert MacIntyre have won in dramatic fashion with one-stroke victories. Dating back to when this was just a DP World Tour (formerly European Tour) event, eleven of the past 14 champions have won by a single shot or emerged with the title in a playoff. Genesis Scottish Open Odds 2025 Golfer Odds Scottie Scheffler +340 Rory McIlroy +650 Xander Schauffe...
Post a Comment
Read more

The Players Championship Odds, Predictions, and Best Picks 2025

The Players Championship tees off Thursday, March 13th, 2025 Scottie Scheffler is the heavy +360 favorite to win this tournament for the third straight year See the 2025 Players Championship odds, picks, and best value bets below After Russell Henley won the Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill, the PGA Tour’s best head to Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida for the “fifth major” – the Players Championship. It’s the crown jewel on the schedule, and the field is stacked as it tackles the quirky and confounding TPC Sawgrass, with Scottie Scheffler searching for a record third straight title at this tournament. 48 of the top 50 golfers in the world will be teeing it up (not Bryson DeChambeau or Tyrrell Hatton). The Players Championship Odds 2025 Golfers Odds Scottie Scheffler +360 Rory McIlroy +800 Collin Morikawa +1600 Xander Schauffele +1600 Ludvig Aberg +2000 Justin Thomas +2000 Hideki Matsuyama +2800 Tommy Fleetwood +3000 Patrick Cantlay +3...
1 comment
Read more

FedEx St Jude Championship Picks, Predictions & Odds

The FedEx St. Jude Championship tees off Thursday, August 7th, from Memphis, Tennessee Scottie Scheffler is the massive +260 favorite over Xander Schauffele to win outright See my 2025 FedEx St. Jude Championship picks, best value bets, and the odds to win the tournament below After Cameron Young broke through for his first PGA Tour title at the Wyndham Championship to conclude the regular season, the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin in earnest. The top-70 golfers are competing in the first of three legs to claim the FedEx Cup trophy, with Rory McIlroy opting out of competing this tournament. This event has been played at TPC Southwind in Memphis, Tennessee, the last three years, and the venue has hosted tournaments for many years on the calendar prior to that. After this week, the top-50 players in the season-long points race will tee it up at the BMW Championship. FedEx St Jude Championship Odds 2025 Golfer Odds Scottie Scheffler +260 Xander Schauffele +1600 Ju...
1 comment
Read more