- The Red Sox send Dustin May to the mound, looking to complete a four-game sweep of Carlos Rodón and the Yankees
- Boston enters the contest having won eight consecutive games against the Yankees, showcasing superior offense and clutch hitting throughout the season series.
- See the Red Sox vs Yankees betting lines, plus my favorite picks and player props to target on Aug. 24
The Boston Red Sox (71-59, 30-34 away, 63-63-4 O/U) and New York Yankees (69-60, 37-28 home, 60-63-6 O/U) finish off a four-game series at Yankee Stadium on Sunday night, with first pitch scheduled for 7:10 pm ET. The Yankees, who have dropped the first three games, send Carlos Rodón (13-7, 3.24 ERA) to the mound, hoping to stop the bleeding. Boston counters with Dustin May (7-9, 4.59 ERA).
The Red Sox’ three-game win streak has vaulted them 1.5 games ahead of the Yankees for the first Wild Card in the AL. New York still holds the second Wild Card spot, but is just 3.5 games from falling out of the playoff picture entirely.
With Rodón on the mound, the Red Sox vs Yankees odds favor the Pinstripes salvaging the final game of the series.
Go to: Odds | Pitcher-vs-Batter H2H History | Player Props | Picks
Red Sox vs Yankees Betting Lines
Sunday’s MLB odds position the New York Yankees as -168 home favorites, with the Bo-Sox +138 road underdogs. The vig-free moneyline gives the Yankees a 59.9% implied win probability, compared to just 40.1% for the Red Sox. But the recent head-to-head results tell a different story: Boston has won eight straight against New York, making their +138 price an intriguing value play for bettors. Odds as of August 24 at DraftKings. Find the top MLB betting apps for Sunday Night Baseball tonight.
BOS vs NYY Odds Movement & Betting Splits
The betting lines for this rivalry game have seen some noteworthy adjustments. The moneyline opened with the New York Yankees at -164 and has shifted slightly to -168, indicating some early money backing the home team to snap its losing streak. Conversely, the Red Sox moved from +134 to +138, offering slightly better value on the ‘dogs.
The most significant movement has occurred on the runline. Boston opened at +1.5 with heavy juice at -164, but that has since been bet down to -149. This suggests that, while the public may be on the Yankees to win, sharper money is taking the Red Sox to keep the game close.
The total has remained stable at 8.5 runs, with only minor adjustments to the juice on the under. This stability points to a consensus that while Rodón is an elite arm, the potent Red Sox offense and the hitter-friendly conditions at Yankee Stadium will keep the over in play.
Starting Pitcher-vs-Batter History: May vs Rodón
Boston Red Sox Batters vs Carlos Rodón
The Red Sox lineup has just a .224 average in 85 career at-bats against Rodón. Carlos Narvaez has, by far, the best results against the New York lefty, going 3-for-4 with a homer, a double, and three RBI.
Ceddane Rafaela and Connor Wong also have home runs off of Rodón. Trevor Story is just 2-of-9, but both hits were doubles. Boston’s power has led to a respectable .710 OPS, in spite of the subpar .224 average.
New York Yankees Batters vs Dustin May
May has largely dominated the few Yankee hitters he’s faced. Paul Goldschmidt is the lone exception, going 2-for-5 with two doubles, a walk, and zero strikeouts.
May, a right-hander, relies heavily on a high-velocity sinker to induce ground balls. This approach will be tested against a Yankees lineup built for power and elevation. Sluggers like Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton excel at punishing pitches left in the middle of the plate, and the short right-field porch at Yankee Stadium looms large for any pitcher who struggles to keep the ball down. Conversely, May’s movement could neutralize New York’s aggressive swings, making this a classic battle of power versus precision.
Red Sox vs Yankees Player Props
MLB player props as of August 24 at DraftKings.
For prop bettors, Dustin May’s strikeout line of 4.5 is appealing. The Yankees’ offense has been prone to strikeouts, fanning 13 times in their last game. May’s stuff has swing-and-miss potential, and against a struggling and aggressive lineup, clearing this number is well within reach.
On the Yankee side, Aaron Judge’s total bases prop at 1.5 (-120) is worth a look. As one of the few consistent offensive threats for New York, he has the power to clear this with a single swing.
New York Yankees vs Boston Red Sox Picks & Prediction
The Yankees are in a desperate spot, and while sending ace Carlos Rodón to the mound seems like the perfect remedy, the underlying issues run deeper. Rodón (3.24 ERA) is facing a red-hot Boston Red Sox lineup that has generated decent power against him, posting a collective .710 OPS.
The Red Sox counter with Dustin May, whose 4.59 ERA is less intimidating, but he possesses the ground-ball inducing arsenal that can neutralize the power-heavy Yankees, especially if he’s on his game.
The betting trends paint a bleak picture for the home team. The Red Sox have won their last eight games against the Yankees and are an impressive 4-1 in their last five road games against opponents with a winning record. Boston has also thrived in the underdog role, going 7-3 in their last ten games when priced as such.
On the other side, New York has lost its last four games at home and is just 1-3 in its last four as a favorite. The Red Sox offense is clicking, and their bullpen has been far more reliable than New York’s recently taxed unit.
Given Boston’s complete on-field dominance in this rivalry, the value lies squarely with the underdog. The Yankees’ struggles are systemic, and one great pitching performance from Rodón may not be enough to overcome their offensive slump and bullpen woes.
Picks:
- Boston Red Sox Moneyline (+138)
- Over 8.5 (-115)
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The sports and sports betting data in this article was gathered with the assistance of AI that is connected to Sportradar’s database.
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