- Game 6 of the 2025 World Series goes down Friday as the Blue Jays look to close out the Dodgers
- LA batters are hitting just .201 through five games, and have zero extra-base hits with RISP
- See my two early picks to target in Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 6 below
Fresh off taking two of three games in LA, the Toronto Blue Jays are on the verge of their first World Series title in 32 years. The Blue Jays take a 3-2 series lead into Game 6 on Friday, but have the unenviable task of trying to solve Yoshinobu Yamamoto. The Dodgers righty has been virtually unhittable all postseason, and he’s one of the reasons I’m banking on a low-scoring affair on Friday.
Below, you’ll find my two early picks for Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 6, and the analysis behind each selection.
Early Picks for Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 6
My favorite early pick to target in Dodgers vs Blue Jays Game 6 is under 4.5 runs in the first 5 innings. Sticking with the under theme, I’m also betting under 4.5 runs for the LA bats as well. The way Yamamoto is pitching, the Dodgers might only need one run to prolong their World Series odds chances.
Odds as of Oct. 30 at FanDuel. Claim the FanDuel promo code before wagering on the World Series.
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Early Pick #1: Under 4.5 Runs First 5 Innings
In Game 2, Yamamoto became the first player since Curt Schilling in the early 90’s to throw back-to-back complete games in the postseason. The 27-year-old was eerily calm as he mowed down the Toronto lineup, just like he was in his masterclass of the Brewers in his previous start.
Over his last two outings, Yamamoto has scattered 7 hits and 2 runs over 18 innings. He’s struck out 15 batters on two of the best lineups in baseball, while walking just one. In Game 2, the Blue Jays mustered only one hit after the third inning, and only two of their final 19 batters hit the ball out of the infield.
Of course, this kind of dominance is nothing new to Dodgers fans. Yamamoto has coughed up more than one run only once in his last nine starts, and boasts a 60-to-15 strikeout-to-walk rate during that stretch. Toronto’s offense is living off the long ball and you know who doesn’t give up home runs? Yamamoto. The Japanese star has surrendered just 6 dingers since the All-Star break over 99 innings.
I obviously don’t expect much offensive production from the Blue Jays in Game 6, and I’m just as bearish on the Dodgers lineup. I’ll dive more into their struggles in my next pick, but for now, let’s focus on Toronto starter Kevin Gausman.
The Blue Jays ace has had a phenomenal playoffs, yielding one run or less in three of four starts. The lone exception was Game 2 versus the LA, but it’s important to note when the Dodgers finally got to him. Gausman held LA in check for the first 6.2 innings, allowing only two hits. Things unravelled from there as he allowed back-to-back homers, but that was largely because his pitch count was rising and fatigue was setting in.
He’ll be fresh from the opening pitch on Friday, and I expect him to keep the Dodgers lifeless bats at bay. LA hitters have just a .228 career average against Gausman over 180 at bats, with Shohei Ohtani posting a dreadful 2-for-15 mark, with 6 strikeouts.
Dodgers vs Blue Jays Early Pick #2: LA Dodgers Under 4.5 Runs
The Dodgers’ lack of postseason production is staggering. This team led the NL in runs per game, home runs, slugging and OPS, and finished second in each of those categories to the Yankees league wide.Yet, you’d never know it by their playoff numbers.
Dodgers World Series Batting Stats
Toronto has outscored LA by 11 runs in the World Series, and by 36 runs in the postseason. They’re batting just .201 versus the Blue Jays, with zero extra-base hits with runners in scoring position.
Since the Wild Card round, they’ve played 123 innings and have scored three or more runs in only three of them. Their top-four hitters were 1-for-15 in Game 5, with 8 strikeouts. Speaking of K’s, LA is striking out at a 26% clip during the postseason, which is a 3 percent increase over the regular season.
Multiple star players like Max Muncy and Mookie Betts have largely no-showed all postseason, while even Ohtani has underwhelmed in spots. Sure, he has two multi-home run games on his 2025 playoff resume, but he is 6-for-48 in the other 12 postseason games combined.
The Dodgers have scored 4 or fewer runs seven times already this postseason, and there’s no reason to expect their lacklustre hitting to improve in Game 6 with Gausman on the mound.
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