- Anytime touchdown props have been posted for every NFL Week 17 game remaining
- Tee Higgins has scored in six of his past seven games
- See my expert NFL touchdown bets for Week 17
The NFL Week 17 slate continues on Sunday, and I’m hunting for value in the anytime touchdown market. Three games currently boast totals of 48.5 points or higher, and those matchups are front and center in my picks.
Below, you’ll find my six favorite expert picks for TD props headlined by Cincinnati’s Tee Higgins, and the analysis for why each selection stands out.
Best NFL TD Scorer Picks (Week 17)
The “best odds” in the table are as of 5:00 pm ET, on December 27. Readers can bookmark SBD’s NFL player props page to see up-to-the-minute props for every Week 17 game.
SPORTSBOOK
Tee Higgins Anytime TD (+105)
- Tee Higgins Anytime TD (+105 at Caesars)
Let’s start with Higgins, who has been a touchdown machine all season. Cincinnati is implied for 30.5 points on Sunday versus the Cardinals, and you can bet the bulk of them will come from Joe Burrow’s arm.
Higgins has scored in six of his last seven games, racking up 8 TD during that stretch. He and Burrow have connected for 3 TDs in their last two outings together, while few defenses have been as giving as Arizona’s over the last five weeks.
Since Week 13, the Cards rank 30th in EPA/play allowed and 29th in opponent drop-back success rate.
Trey McBride Anytime TD (+110)
- Trey McBride Anytime TD (+110 at FanDuel)
On the other side of the ball in the Cardinals-Bengals matchup, we have the league’s most productive tight end in Trey McBride taking on one of the worst statistical defenses against the position of all-time.
Cincy has yielded 312 more yards and four more touchdowns to tight ends than any other defense. McBride, meanwhile, ranks third in catches and sixth in receiving yards in the entire NFL.
Cincinnati Bengals Defense vs Tight Ends
He’s drawn 8+ targets in every Jacoby Brissett start so far, posting 9 TD in the 10 games the two have played together.
Jauan Jennings TD (+110)
Is Jauan Jennings the new Chris Carter? It may seem like an outlandish claim, but all Jennings does lately is catch touchdowns. Jennings has 5 TD in his last four games, while the 49ers offense all of a sudden looks like a legit Super Bowl odds contender.
Since Brock Purdy’s return in Week 11, San Fran ranks second in EPA/play and second in success rate.
This week, they’ll draw the Bears, who have struggled to contain enemy passing games. Chicago has allowed the fifth most touchdown passes this season, and the third most TD to enemy wideouts.
Mike Evans Anytime TD (+140)
Speaking of prolific touchdown scorers, can you believe DraftKings is offering +140 odds on Mike Evans to score? Evans has been an ATM to anytime TD bettors over the last decade, and found the end zone again last week.
He’ll face the Dolphins on Sunday, who’ve allowed the ninth most TD to opposing wide receivers, and just coughed up four passing touchdowns to Cincinnati in Week 16.
Brenton Strange Anytime TD (+220)
- Brenton Strange Anytime TD (+220 at BetMGM)
I’m sure you noticed that our first four anytime TD targets were all plus-money wagers. Our last two are as well, but we’re chasing a slightly bigger payout.
The third-highest total on the Sunday slate is the Jaguars vs Colts contest, with Jacksonville implied for 27 points. Trevor Lawrence has been the most efficient QB over the last seven weeks, but the assignment just got a lot tougher for his wideouts with Sauce Gardner returning to Indy’s defense.
That means we could see a few more targets headed Brenton Strange’s way. The big tight end has scored twice in his last four games, with at least six targets in two of his past three outings.
Indy’s defense has struggled to defend tight ends all season, allowing the fifth most catches and the 12th most touchdowns to the position.
Josh Downs Anytime TD (+320)
- Josh Downs Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+320 at Fanatics)
Our final target comes from the same game, only from the Colts’ side. Josh Downs led Indy in targets last week with Philip Rivers under center, and scored a touchdown in Rivers’ debut.
Before Rivers’ arrival, he hadn’t run a route on more than 75% of the Colts’ drop-backs in any game, but in Rivers’ first two starts, he’s had an 82% and 84% route participation rate.
He’s not a sexy pick, but he’s going to be on the field all game long and should draw plenty of looks in a likely trailing game script.
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD1500 & GET $1,500 BACK IN BONUS BETS
-
BET365 SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $150 IN BONUS BETS WITH CODE DIME365!
-
FANATICS SPORTSBOOKBET & GET UP TO $2,000 IN FANCASH
-
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $200 IN BONUS BETS IF YOUR BET WINS
-
FANDUEL SPORTSBOOKBET $5 & GET $250 IF YOUR BET WINS!
-
CAESARS SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE SBD250BM & GET A BET MATCH ON YOUR FIRST BET UP TO $250!
-
THESCORE BET SPORTSBOOKUSE CODE DIME TO UNLOCK BET $10, GET $100 BONUS
-
DRAFTKINGS SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL 1-800-GAMBLER, (800) 327-5050 or visit gamblinghelplinema.org (MA). Call 877-8-HOPENY/text HOPENY (467369) (NY). Please Gamble Responsibly. 888-789-7777/visit ccpg.org (CT), or visit www.mdgamblinghelp.org (MD). 21+ and present in most states. (18+ DC/KY/NH/WY). Void in ONT/OR/NH. Eligibility restrictions apply. On behalf of Boot Hill Casino & Resort (KS). Pass-thru of per wager tax may apply in IL. 1 per new customer. Must register new account to receive reward Token. Must select Token BEFORE placing min. $5 bet to receive $200 in Bonus Bets if your bet wins. Min. -500 odds req. Token and Bonus Bets are single-use and non-withdrawable. Token expires 1/11/26. Bonus Bets expire in 7 days (168 hours). Stake removed from payout. Terms: sportsbook.draftkings.com/promos. Ends 1/4/26 at 11:59 PM ET. Sponsored by DK.
-
BET365 SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Minimum $10 deposit required. Minimum odds -500 of greater. Bonus Bets wager excluded from returns. T&Cs, time limits and exclusions apply. GAMBLING PROBLEM? CALL OR TEXT 1-800-GAMBLER (AZ/CO/IL/IN/KS/KY/LA/MD/NC/NJ/OH/PA/TN/VA) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ only (18+ KY).
-
BETMGM SPORTSBOOK T&Cs: Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (Available in the US), Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY), Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA), 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-981-0023 (PR). 21+ only. Please Gamble Responsibly. See BetMGM.com for Terms. First Bet Offer for new customers only (if applicable). Subject to eligibility requirements. Bonus bets are non-withdrawable. In partnership with Kansas Crossing Casino and Hotel. This promotional offer is not available in DC, MS, NY, NV, ON, or PR.
The post NFL Anytime Touchdown Bets for Week 17: Expert Picks for TD Props appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
from Sports Betting Dime https://ift.tt/vmdYyeU
via IFTTT
Comments
Post a Comment