- Klint Kubiak is the favorite to be the Atlanta Falcons next head coach
- Raheem Morris was fired following the regular season after an 8-9 record
- See the next Falcons head coach odds below, plus my favorite pick to get the job
Stop me if you’ve heard this before. The Atlanta Falcons are hitting the reset button. Fresh off their eighth consecutive losing season, Atlanta fired head coach Raheem Morris and GM Terry Fontenot on Sunday. The Falcons haven’t cracked the playoffs since the 2017 season, and now will hire a third new coach in six years.
Predictive markets are listing Klint Kubiak as the favorite, a sentiment I’m perfectly aligned with. Below you’ll find the complete set of next Falcons head coach odds from Kalshi, plus my favorite pick to get the job.
Next Falcons Head Coach Odds
Kubiak, the Seahawks OC, is being given a 30% chance to be Atlanta’s next bench boss. In traditional sports betting terms, that makes his price to get the job +233. He’s followed by former Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski, who’s been assigned a 16% chance to get the nod (+525), and Chiefs OC Matt Nagy who has a 12% chance (+733).
Kubiak’s resume puts him in the best position to turn around an underperforming Atlanta franchise, and I believe the price is more than fair.
Odds as of Jan. 5 at Kalshi. New customers can claim the Kalshi promo code and get a bonus to bet on NFL futures.
Kubiak’s Pedigree Propels Him to Top Candidate
Unlike last year, there are no can’t miss hires. There’s no one like Ben Johnson or Mike Vrabel in this coaching cycle, meaning teams are going to have to take some risks.
The Falcons just tried a defensive minded coach with Morris, and that failed spectacularly. It’s unlikely that Arthur Blank wants to keep watching this team flounder offensively, increasing the likelihood they choose an offensive minded coach. Atlanta has finished outside the top-17 in point differential in seven straight seasons, and 13th or worse in scoring offense in six of the last seven years.
Falcons Scoring Offense Ranks – Last 5 Years
Kubiak is a big part of the Seahawks success this season, helping morph them into a Super Bowl odds contender. Yes, the Seattle defense gets all the credit, but the Seahawks offense ranks eighth in success rate.
The 38-year-old is the son of a legendary head coach, and has also spent time working with Kyle Shanahan and Kevin O’Connell, widely considered two of the best offensive minds in football. He had the Saints offense humming with Derek Carr last year before the team was decimated by injuries, and his run first to set up play action scheme fits perfectly with the Falcons skill position corps.
Regardless of whether Michael Pennix Jr. is viewed as the franchise QB, or Atlanta drafts another, they’ll need a bright offensive mind to develop their guy.
The Falcons boast a strong offensive line, and one of the best players at running back (Bijan Robinson), wide receiver (Drake London) and tight end (Kyle Pitts). They are too good to continue underachieving, and Kubiak is someone that can take this offense to the next level.
Why the Other Top Offensive Minds Aren’t Worth the Risk
Kubiak isn’t the only offensive coach that will be in the mix, but I believe he’s the best fit. Names like Stefanski and Nagy will get consideration, as will Buffalo’s Joe Brady and the Rams Mike LaFleur.
Let’s start with Stefanski. Yes, he lead Cleveland to two playoff berths during his tenure, but did so on the strength of one of the league’s best defenses. His offense ranked outside the top half of the league in five of his six seasons, and was the lowest and second lowest scoring team over the last two years.
As for Nagy, he had Patrick Mahomes at his disposal, yet the Chiefs finished middle of the pack in success rate. He already failed spectacularly as a head coach in Chicago, and I don’t think any organization is bringing him in with better candidates still out there.
Brady meanwhile, hasn’t been doing much to help Josh Allen these days, as the Bills offense seems to function best when Allen is just running around ad-libing.
Then there’s LaFleur. Sure, the Rams offensive is a juggernaut, but that’s Sean McVay’s baby. McVay is the mastermind behind the league’s most successful offense, leaving us to wonder how much of an impact LaFleur really makes. He did get full control of the Jets offense for two years, and was promptly run out of town after failing to develop Zach Wilson.
If the Falcons really want to change the identity and trajectory of their franchise, Kubiak is the hire to make.
The post Next Falcons Head Coach Odds appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
from Sports Betting Dime https://ift.tt/eNYmudF
via IFTTT
Comments
Post a Comment