- Game props are live for Super Bowl 60 between the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots
- Sacks, scoring props, winning margin and more – DraftKings has it all for the big game
- Read below to find out where the betting value lies in the Super Bowl 60 game props
The Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots are set for a Super Bowl rematch 11 years in the making. Seattle famously lost Super Bowl XLIX on Malcolm Butler’s goal-line interception, and now they have a shot at revenge with the roles reversed. The Seahawks enter as 4.5-point favorites in the Super Bowl 60 odds, with a total sitting at 45.5.
These teams took completely different paths to get here. Seattle averaged 32.5 points per game in the playoffs with zero turnovers, while New England ground out wins, scoring just 18 points per game in three postseason contests. The Patriots beat Denver 10-7 in the AFC Championship, relying almost entirely on their defense.
Looking for the best Super Bowl betting apps? Make sure they offer plenty of game props. If you’re new to prop betting, our handy guide breaks down everything you need to know.
Kickoff for Super Bowl 60 at Levi’s Stadium is set for 6:30 pm ET on Sunday, February 8. NBC has the broadcast.
Jump To: Touchdown | Scoring | Gameplay | Race to X Points | Winning Margin
Super Bowl 60 Touchdown Props
All odds as of Jan. 30 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Check out all of the Super Bowl betting promos offered by leading sites.
Must manually enter promo code DIME to claim offer.
Total TDs Under 5.5 (+140)
The juice is heavy on the over at -154, but don’t let that scare you off the under. Both teams rank in the top four in scoring defense. Seattle leads the league at 17.2 points allowed per game, while New England sits fourth at 18.8.
The Patriots have been a disaster in the red zone during the playoffs, converting just 33.3% of trips into touchdowns. They’ve scored only three total touchdowns across three playoff games. Even if Seattle gets to four scores, New England needs two to push this over. That’s a tall order for an offense that can’t find the end zone.
- Pick: Total TDs Under 5.5 (+140)
Shortest TD Under 1.5 Yards (-130)
This prop caters directly to the tush push era. Seattle’s AJ Barner converted 10 of 11 tush push attempts this season with one touchdown. The Seahawks run it more than almost any team in short-yardage situations.
Someone’s scoring from close range. Modern NFL offenses attack the goal line differently now, and short-yardage touchdowns are more common than ever. I expect at least one score from inside the two.
- Pick: Shortest TD Under 1.5 yards (-130)
Seahawks vs Patriots Scoring Props
Any Team to Score 30+ Points: Yes (+110)
This line opened at +110 and should be closer to even money. Seattle’s been a scoring machine in January, averaging 32.5 points through two playoff games. They hit 31 against the Rams and 41 against the 49ers.
The Patriots defense is legit, but Seattle’s offense is clicking at the right time. Sam Darnold posted a 122.4 passer rating in the postseason with four touchdowns and zero interceptions. Jaxon Smith-Njigba had 10 catches for 153 yards and a touchdown in the NFC Championship alone. Kenneth Walker III has four rushing touchdowns in two playoff games.
Weather won’t be a factor at Levi’s Stadium, and this pick pairs nicely with our under on total TDs. Seattle can hit 30 with three touchdowns and three field goals while New England struggles to find the end zone.
- Pick: Any team to score 30+ points – Yes (+110)
Safety Scored: Yes (+1100)
Safeties have occurred in roughly 15.5% of Super Bowls (9 in 58 games). The implied odds of +1100 suggest bookmakers believe a safety is less likely than history indicates.
This matchup sets up perfectly for a safety. New England’s offensive line has been terrible in pass protection, surrendering five sacks in each of their three playoff games. Drake Maye is managing a shoulder injury that limits his mobility. Seattle punter Michael Dickson is an elite field-flipper capable of pinning New England inside the five.
Conservative play-calling from deep in your own territory often leads to runs or slow-developing play-action, which against a penetrating front like Seattle’s can result in tackles in the end zone. Worth a sprinkle at 11-to-1.
- Pick: Safety scored – Yes (+1100)
SPORTSBOOK
Super Bowl Gameplay Props
Total Sacks Over 4.5 (-140)
This is the best bet on the board. The Patriots’ offensive line has been a disaster in the playoffs, surrendering exactly five sacks in each of their three postseason games. That’s 15 total sacks across three contests.
The Seahawks generated 47 sacks during the regular season, ranking seventh in the league. They run a diverse array of blitz packages under Mike Macdonald’s scheme. Drake Maye’s shoulder injury limits his ability to extend plays outside the pocket. When a quarterback becomes stationary behind a porous line, sack probability spikes.
If New England maintains its postseason average of 5.0 sacks allowed, the over hits on the Patriots’ contribution alone. Even if Seattle only gives up one or two, the combined total projects comfortably into the 6-7 range.
- Pick: Total Sacks Over 4.5 (-140)
Total 1st Downs Under 39.5 (+100)
The Patriots’ offense has been stagnant despite their wins. In the Divisional Round against Houston, New England gained only 13 first downs. They managed just 12 against Denver in the AFC Championship. The Patriots averaged less than four yards per play in both games.
Both teams boast top-tier defenses. Seattle finished the regular season ranked first in defensive DVOA. Sharp money has already driven the game total down, anticipating a defensive struggle. If the Patriots struggle to sustain drives like they have throughout January, hitting 40 combined first downs will be difficult.
- Pick: Total 1st Downs Under 39.5 (+100)
Super Bowl 60 Race to X Points
Seahawks Race to 20 Points (-148)
This pricing implies Seattle is the favorite but perhaps not a prohibitive one. The data says otherwise.
Seattle has scored 20+ points in every playoff game and averaged 28.4 PPG in the regular season (third in NFL). New England failed to reach 20 points in the AFC Championship (winning 10-7) and has relied on turnovers and short fields to boost scores. Their offense is averaging roughly 15.7 points over the last three games.
Seattle possesses explosive playmakers in Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III to score in bursts. New England’s methodical, grind-it-out style makes reaching 20 points a laborious task requiring multiple sustained drives. Seattle winning the race to 20 is highly correlated with the overall game outcome.
- Pick: Seahawks race to 20 points (-148)
Winning Margin Odds for Super Bowl 60
Seahawks to Win by 7-12 Points (+400)
The Seahawks to win by 7-12 margin aligns perfectly with the statistical profiles of both teams.
Seattle’s defense allows 17.2 PPG. New England’s offense averages around 16 PPG in the playoffs. Seattle’s offense averages 32 PPG in the postseason and 28.4 PPG in the regular season. If we project a median outcome based on these averages, a score of roughly Seattle 27, New England 13-17 emerges. Both a 27-17 and 24-13 score fall squarely within the 7-12 band.
The Patriots are unlikely to get blown out by 20+ points due to their disciplined defense and Mike Vrabel’s coaching. But they lack the offensive firepower to keep pace. A comfortable Seattle win in the 7-12 range is the most probable outcome.
- Pick: Seahawks to win by 7-12 points (+400)
Make sure to also check out our Super Bowl MVP odds, along with our Super Bowl TD prop bets.
SPORTSBOOK
The post Super Bowl 60 Game Props – Total TDs, Sacks, Winning Margin Odds and More appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.
from Sports Betting Dime https://ift.tt/ERoDU1j
via IFTTT
Comments
Post a Comment