- The over has hit in 10 of the Wild’s last 11 games against Eastern Conference opponents
- Florida is without Aleksander Barkov, Sam Reinhart, Anton Lundell and Brad Marchand
- Check out my Wild vs Panthers prediction, prop picks and same-game parlay below
The Minnesota Wild (40-20-12) head to Sunrise on Thursday to face a Florida Panthers (35-32-3) team missing Aleksander Barkov, Sam Reinhart, Anton Lundell, and Brad Marchand. That’s a lot of firepower out of the lineup for a team already out of the NHL playoff picture.
Minnesota is 0-4 in their last 4 against Eastern Conference teams, but the over trends in this spot are off the charts. These two meet at 7 pm ET in Sunrise, with ESPN carrying the broadcast nationally.
Here are my Wild vs Panthers prediction, prop picks and same-game parlay, plus the latest NHL odds.
Wild vs Panthers Prediction
- Over 6.0 Goals (-125 at Bet365)
My Wild vs Panthers prediction is on the over. The over has cashed in 10 of Minnesota’s last 11 games against Eastern Conference teams, 8 of their last 9 against Atlantic Division opponents, and 13 of their last 16 road games.
It’s also hit in all four of the last four Wild/Panthers meetings.
Florida’s .874 save percentage is dead last in the NHL, and Daniil Tarasov has a 4.03 GAA and .862 save percentage over his last four starts. Minnesota’s 25.0% power play (3rd in the NHL) should feast against a Panthers team that averages 11.71 penalty minutes per game, the second most in the league.
Wild vs Panthers Key Stats
Minnesota has the second-best save percentage in the NHL at .905 and ranks fifth in goals against. But Wallstedt has been shaky recently, going 0-2-2 in his last four starts.
The Panthers have won 5 of their last 6 at home and are 8-0 as a home underdog this season. The road team has also won all four of the last four meetings. I’m sticking with the over for my Wild vs Panthers prediction.
Wild vs Panthers Prop Picks
Here are my two Wild vs Panthers prop picks for Thursday night.
- Brock Faber Over 1.5 Shots on Goal (-157)
Faber has cleared 1.5 shots in 9 of his last 10 games as a favorite (90% hit rate), averaging 2.7 per game in those spots. The 22-year-old defenseman pairs with Jonas Brodin on Minnesota’s second pairing and sees plenty of time on the power play.
Florida allows 26.36 shots per game (7th fewest), but Faber’s volume comes from the point and he doesn’t need open ice to get pucks through.
- Sam Bennett Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (-164)
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I’m going over on Bennett’s shots to round out my Wild vs Panthers picks. He’s cleared 2.5 in 9 of his last 10 home games against top-10 scoring defenses, averaging 4.0 per game.
With Barkov, Reinhart, Lundell, and Marchand all out, Bennett is centering Florida’s top line between Carter Verhaeghe and Matthew Tkachuk. He’s going to get all the ice time he can handle.
Wild vs Panthers Same-Game Parlay
- Over 6.0 Goals + Brock Faber Over 1.5 SOG + Sam Bennett Over 2.5 SOG
All three legs tie together. A high-scoring game means more shots from both sides, and both Faber and Bennett have 90% hit rates in their respective situational splits.
Faber’s volume comes from the power play, and Minnesota’s 25.0% PP should get plenty of chances against the most penalized team in the NHL. Bennett’s usage goes through the roof with four of Florida’s top forwards sidelined.
Wild vs Panthers Odds
Minnesota is -155 on the moneyline at DraftKings, translating to roughly a 61% implied probability. Florida is +135 at bet365. The puck line has the Wild at -1.5 (+160) at bet365 and the Panthers at +1.5 (-175) at DraftKings.
The total is set at O 6 (-125) at bet365 and U 6.5 (-118) at DraftKings. Given the over trends and Tarasov’s recent struggles, -125 on the over 6 looks like the sharpest price on the board.
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Wild vs Panthers Starting Goalies
Both goalies are confirmed for Thursday. Jesper Wallstedt gets the call for Minnesota. The 23-year-old Swede has a 2.17 GAA and .922 save percentage in five March appearances, though he’s 0-2-2 in his last four starts.
Daniil Tarasov starts for Florida. The 26-year-old has been rough lately, going 1-3-0 with a 4.03 GAA and .862 save percentage over his last four. He’s making his sixth start in the Panthers’ last 13 games as the team has rotated netminders frequently.
Wild vs Panthers Goalie Stats
Minnesota is missing Marcus Foligno (lower body, out indefinitely).
Florida’s injury list is massive: Barkov (knee), Reinhart (foot, day-to-day), Lundell (upper body, 2-6 weeks), Marchand (lower body, IR), Samoskevich (neck, day-to-day), Mikkola (knee, 4-6 weeks), Balinskis (foot, 4-6 weeks), Schwindt (lower body, IR), and Gadjovich (upper body, out long-term).
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